I know this is pretty much irrelevant to the topic of this blog, but I thought many of you would be interested anyway. I find this information is little known and that is probably because it doesn’t fit the political objectives of many people and it isn’t splashy news material. This is the latest best guess of the U.N. Please note that many population experts are actually worried about a population implosion that will create an aging population with insufficient young productive people to support it.
The current population of the earth is around 6.8 billion. A few years ago when I suggested to some people that the population would peak at 10 – 12 billion I was laughed out of the room. Here is what the United Nation’s experts believe at the current time. Basically in 40 years the population is going to peak at about 9 billion and then remain there for at least the next 150 years. Nobody really knows but the evidence against a population explosion is quite strong.
In these projections, world population peaks at 9.22 billion in 2075. Population therefore grows slightly beyond the level of 8.92 billion projected for 2050 in the 2002 Revision, on which these projections are based. However, after reaching its maximum, world population declines slightly and then resumes increasing, slowly, to reach a level of 8.97 billion by 2300, not much different from the projected 2050 figure.
— United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs
— Population Division
I consider this extremely positive news in a sea of doom and gloom.
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