World Population Growth is Declining

by Stephen Mills on December 30, 2010

I know this is pretty much irrelevant to the topic of this blog, but I thought many of you would be interested anyway.  I find this information is little known and that is probably because it doesn’t fit the political objectives of many people and it isn’t splashy news material.  This is the latest best guess of the U.N.  Please note that many population experts are actually worried about a population implosion that will create an aging population with insufficient young productive people to support it. 

The current population of the earth is around 6.8 billion.  A few years ago when I suggested to some people that the population would peak at 10 – 12 billion I was laughed out of the room.  Here is what the United Nation’s experts believe at the current time.  Basically in 40 years the population is going to peak at about 9 billion and then remain there for at least the next 150 years.  Nobody really knows but the evidence against a population explosion is quite strong.

In these projections, world population peaks at 9.22 billion in 2075. Population therefore grows slightly beyond the level of 8.92 billion projected for 2050 in the 2002 Revision, on which these projections are based. However, after reaching its maximum, world population declines slightly and then resumes increasing, slowly, to reach a level of 8.97 billion by 2300, not much different from the projected 2050 figure.

— United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs
— Population Division

I consider this extremely positive news in a sea of doom and gloom.


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{ 3 comments… read them below or add one }

Sue December 31, 2010 at 6:25 am

Hoorah. Brilliant news. I worried about this. Population growth is the key cause of global warming.


Henway December 31, 2010 at 6:53 pm

I always thought the doom and gloom predictions about overpopulation was a bit off. Even if overpopulation was to become an issue, governments would start to have a one child policy and that would balance things out.
Henway´s last blog post ..Medifast Recipes Tips and Tricks


Michael Rynn July 9, 2015 at 5:46 pm

Large global population size plus global warming plus resource depletion plus overshoot carrying capacity makes for interesting future times, and will cause depopulation growth. According to limits to growth update scenario, global food output and industrial production have already reached all time peak, and will decline from now. Global population peak will lag a few decades after.


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